Air freight prices skyrocket! A lot of sellers are going crazy!



Under the impact of the epidemic, most international flights have been grounded, the transportation capacity is extremely anxious, and air freight is flying to the sky!


The popularity of the international air cargo sales market is far beyond imagination. Southeast Asia has already sold more than 20 yuan a kilo, this price is already comparable to the previous price of the United States!


The price of the US Airline route has basically doubled in the past. For transportation costs of 40 to 50 yuan per kilogram, we have to dig our heads in order to win the space.


South America and Africa are even more exaggerated. Seventy to eighty dollars a kilo, it is very close to the freight unit price over a hundred years ago!


Significant reduction in international flight capacity


Affected by the worsening epidemic in Europe, Lufthansa cancelled 7,100 flights in March, Israel Airlines cancelled all international flights, and Korean Air has already reduced its international transportation capacity by 80%.


不 According to incomplete statistical analysis, during the period from February to March 2020, the transportation capacity of all international aviation sales markets was reduced by at least 60% compared to the normal stage. Only a few intercontinental passenger routes are in operation at this stage.


While the epidemic situation in China is gradually easing, the foreign epidemic situation is becoming less and less optimistic. As several countries, including Italy, South Korea, and the United States, have successively announced their country's entry into first-level combat readiness and banned borders, the movement of staff around the world is more difficult.


As the intermediary staff of countries around the world become increasingly difficult to rely on the epidemic, many passenger flights of international airlines cannot be recovered in a short period of time, at least in the first half of the year should be extremely difficult.


Difficulties in freight logistics charter prices


In addition to the drastic reduction in passenger flights, it is already difficult to find goods in the belly compartment of passenger flights. Many people look at freight logistics charter flights.


By 2018, the total number of all cargo aircraft of all international airlines in China would not be enough. The total number of large transport aircraft (such as B747 / B777) suitable for long-distance intercontinental routes in the United States is less than 50.


An all-cargo freighter for inter-American flights is calculated based on a 100-ton capacity. All of our all-suitable all-cargo freighters for long-distance inter-continental routes in China can be used, and a 5,000-ton space can be used in one day. application!


Compared with the United States, a single Fedex company will have more than 600 all-cargo transport aircraft, which is more than three times larger than the total number of all-cargo transport aircraft of all airlines in China.


This is the reality of China's international air cargo sales market today.


You can charter. Where does the plane come from?


Now you can't find a plane to pack!


Packing a B747 or B777 all-cargo freighter for a single trip to Europe, the starting price is 500,000 US dollars, and there is not necessarily an airplane that can fly immediately.


All cargo carriers of Chinese airlines have already flexibly used them. Many foreign airlines' cargo carriers have suffered from the hazards of epidemic surveillance and the restrictions on the review of air rights have basically failed to find suitable aircraft in a short time.


Cross-border e-commerce supply chain suffers setback


The situation of today's cross-border e-commerce merchants and their export foreign trade merchants is very embarrassing.


Early in the Chinese New Year holiday in January, the employees went home and no one sold them. In February, employees couldn't come home, most of the stores were out of stock. In March, it was difficult to start the upstream and downstream processing plants, the delay in stocking has been delayed, and the transportation cost has risen.


The outbreak of international flight transportation capacity caused by this epidemic has been greatly reduced. For merchant groups on e-commerce platforms (ebay, wish, AliExpress, etc.) that are highly dependent on long and straight delivery of small package logistics methods, the time limit for order information to fulfill the contract It has become longer, transportation costs have risen sharply, and core competitiveness has been significantly reduced.


With the crazy increase in the cost of air parts, most merchants will choose international shipping, railway lines and other relatively more time-efficient and more cost-effective shipping methods, and will also increase the proportion of overseas warehousing and delivery. The supply chain of cross-border e-commerce merchants is lengthened, the efficiency of working capital will be reduced, and a large amount of assets can be required to maintain an effective cash flow.


From the perspective of cross-border e-commerce supply chain management, for small and medium-sized businesses with a weak asset reserve foundation, it represents an increase in the market competition threshold of the manufacturing industry, and a major change is inevitable. For large businesses with an elite team of several thousand people, at this time, they will also do everything possible to "weight loss". After all, when the overseas epidemic situation can be controlled is still unknown.


For cross-border logistics dedicated line transportation companies on the same entire industrial chain, at this time, the ability to maintain the price of the delivery method and the reliability of service items is honed. If you do not have the ability to control the airline's upstream and downstream resources, the most likely situation is that the price changes every day, the timeliness is not guaranteed, the customers are unsatisfactory, and the company is losing money!


Maintaining the smooth transportation capacity of international flights and maintaining the smooth management of cross-border e-commerce supply chain are vital to the life and death of a large number of merchants!


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